Global and Asian Economies 2002

STRONGER EXPORTS HELPED LIFT THE NORTHEAST ASIAN ECONOMIES

Although a global economic recovery remained tentative, the Northeast Asian economies saw improvements in 2002 due mainly to stronger exports.

In particular, China's economy grew by 8% in 2002, after an already impressive 7.3% growth in 2001. Growth was driven by state spending and booming exports as foreign firms flocked into the country. Foreign direct investments reached US$52.7 billion in 2002, an increase of 12.6% from the previous year. China also approved more than 34,100 new foreign-invested enterprises, 30% more than the previous year’s. This brings the total number of foreign firms in China to about 424,200. China’s successful entry into the World Trade Organisation, hosting of the 2008 Olympic Games and 2010 World Expo will further attract a flood of fresh investments into the country, creating more jobs and increasing household incomes.

South Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong also saw faster economic advances than expected. An export rebound, strong domestic consumption and increased investment spending helped the South Korean economy to post a 6.2% growth in 2002, as compared to 3% in 2001. Taiwan's economy also reversed the 2.2% contraction in 2001 to register a 3.5% expansion in 2002. Hong Kong's economy grew 2% in 2002, an improvement over 2001's 1.3%. Although tourist arrivals rose significantly by 20%, consumer demand and investment spending remained depressed due to high unemployment.

VIETNAM AND THAILAND POSTED STRONG GROWTH

The Southeast Asian economies also performed better in 2002. Vietnam's economy grew by a robust 7% in 2002 as it began to reap benefits from its economic reforms, the bilateral trade agreement with the US and the implementation of the Enterprise Law. Thailand also posted healthy growth of 5.2% in 2002, up from 1.9% in the previous year due to rising consumer confidence and a strong pick-up in exports. The government's supportive measures such as adopting a loose monetary policy and postponing an increase in the value-added tax also helped the economy weather the difficult external environment.

After narrowly escaping a recession in 2001, the Malaysian economy achieved 4.2% growth in 2002 on the back of robust domestic consumption. Buoyed by strong consumption demand, Indonesia's GDP also edged up to 3.7% in 2002 from 3.4% in the earlier year.

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